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10 x 10 / 100 Box / Super Bowl Square Pool

Having the ability to see every Super Bowl from 1-51, number pairs by Quarter and Conference will provide you with the information to quickly determine the possibility you have of winning a quarter. Depending upon the 10 x 10 pool you are playing, where only 4 quarters are paid, you hope when the numbers are randomly drawn, your pair fall into one of those 64 AFC vs. NFC combinations not highlighted in red.

Below are all Super Bowls 1-51 and the number pair broken down by Quarter and Conference, so you can see how frequently number combinations have occurred in the past. The 36 red boxes have never won a quarter.

This is the first Super Bowl which went to overtime.  Most pools use the final score to complete the last payout. Some pools pay on every score change regardless of quarter.

Safeties, blocked extra points, 2 point conversions and moving the extra point from 20 yards to 33 yards can all impact the value of your numbers.  Now there is hope for what were historically low probability number pairs.

1st Quarter – there were only 16 winning number combinations and AFC 0 vs. NFC 0 had the most wins followed closely by AFC 0 vs. NFC 3.

 

2nd Quarter – as you can see in this quarter, the number combinations doubled. AFC 7 vs. NFC 0 had the most wins followed by AFC 7 vs. NFC 3. After that, random combinations of 1 and 2 wins in 29 other pairs, providing other combination winners as the game takes shape.

This is also the first time NFC 1 vs. AFC 3 hit, which is highlighted in green.

 

3rd Quarter – is consistent with winning number combinations of 35, which easily doubled the 1st quarter.  AFC 4 vs. NFC 0 had the most wins, followed by AFC 7 vs. NFC 0, AFC 7 vs. NFC 3 and AFC 7 vs. NFC 6.  Having the AFC with 7 in the 3rd quarter was the number with the highest probability of winning.

This is also the first time NFC 8 vs. AFC 9 hit, which is highlighted in green.

4th Quarter – follows the pattern of the 2nd & 3rd quarters with the winning number pair combinations exceeding 30. The 4th has the most combinations of numbers as end of the game strategy and other decisions as well as scoring plays in the previous quarter’s impact the combination possibilities.  AFC 4 vs. NFC 7 had the most wins, followed by a number of pairs which hit twice. Having the NFC with 7 in the 4th quarter was the number with the highest probability of winning and 7 of 10 pairs with AFC were winners.

 

This is also the first time NFC 8 vs. AFC 8 hit, which is highlighted in green and the first time ever 8 & 8 hit sending the game into overtime as the Patriots scored 19 points in the 4th quarter.

 

Overtime – finally after 51 Super Bowls, we have our first over time game. Due to NFL rules, the extra point wasn’t required and for those who had AFC 5 & NFC 8, you were probably not to happy and dropped a few f-bombs.

 

Total – Overall there are now 64 winning number pairs for all Super Bowls 1-51 by Quarter and Conference. This leaves 36 pairs, which have yet to win and some have a small or no probability of occurring.  There are many factors which make it very difficult for certain number pairs to ever win and with the extra point being moved back 13 yards, could bring those less common numbers into play. This is also a significant increase in the number of winning pairs as 4 different combinations occurred in Super Bowl 51.

 

First time number pairs:

  • Super Bowl 46: NFC 5 & AFC 7 win a quarter for the first time. Thanks to Tom Brady getting a safety very early in the 1st quarter after being pressured by Justin Tuck.
  • Super Bowl 47:  AFC 8 & NFC 3 win a quarter for the first time in the 3rd quarter.
  • Super Bowl 48: AFC 8 & NFC 6 win a quarter for the first time in the 3rd quarter.
  • Super Bowl 49: AFC 4 & NFC 4 won both the 2nd & 3rd quarters, which is statistically impressive since that combination only hit 1 other time in 48 Super Bowls.
  • Super Bowl 50:  AFC 8 & NFC 3 win a quarter for the first time in the 4th quarter.
  • Super Bowl 51:  AFC 8 & NFC 8 didn’t win the 4th quarter as most pools use the final score and this is also the first overtime game.

 

Super Bowl Quarter Metrics

Number pairs which haven’t won a Super Bowl quarter include the following: 1-1, 2-2, 5-5, and 9-9.

There are 36 number combinations which have yet to produce a winner.

0-0 has won the most with 15 wins

AFC 7 & NFC 0 ranks 2nd with 12 wins

AFC 4 & NFC 0 ranks 3rd with 11 wins and

NFC 3 & AFC 0 ranks 4th with 10 wins

Based on the scoring, certain number pairs are more difficult to occur in the 1st quarter and cannot until later in the game. This could also be the year where a missed extra point will put statistically, low probability numbers in play.