Total Quarter Wins for Every Super Bowl 1-47 and Percentages for 100 Box Pools – Updated 1/8/2014

This table lists the frequency of various number combinations winning a quarter in a traditional 100 box Super Bowl pool.  Over the last 47 years, there were 188 quarters played and still no overtime game.

The highest percentage of wins is 7-0 & 0-7, winning 20 quarters or 10.87% of all quarters played. The last time they won a quarter was Super Bowl 43 in the 3rd quarter, where the Arizona Cardinals (NFC) were losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC) 20-7.  That was a pretty exciting Super Bowl and the Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC) 27 beat the Arizona Cardinals (NFC) 23 in 2009.

If you don’t see your numbers then they never won a quarter – better luck next year.

Winning a quarter is being very lucky, but if your numbers win multiple quarters, you might want to leave the party. You don’t make a lot of friends when your numbers win more than once.

 Total Quarter Wins for Every Super Bowl 1 47 and Percentages for 100 Box Pools – Updated 1/8/2014

The same numbers came out three times in the same game on two occasions:

1) Super Bowl V, numbers 6 & 3 won the 2nd, 3rd and 4th quarters. Baltimore (AFC) 16 beat Dallas (NFC) 13 in 1971.

2) Super Bowl XIX, numbers 8 & 6 won the 2nd, 3rd and 4th quarters. San Francisco (NFC) 38 beat Miami (AFC) 16 in 1985.

First time number pairs:

Super Bowl 46 saw NFC 5 & AFC 7 win a quarter for the first time ever. Thanks to Tom Brady getting a safety early in the 1st quarter after being pressured by Justin Tuck.

Super Bowl 47 saw AFC 8 & NFC 3 win a quarter for the first time ever in the 3rd quarter.

Super Bowl Coin Toss Analysis – Prop bet – Updated 1/12/2014

The Super Bowl doesn’t begin without the coin toss.  These special coins are created by the Highland Mint in Melbourne, FL. Like all authentic Super Bowl merchandise you can buy your own.

If you remember or are still trying to forget a Statistics class you took in high school or college, the probability is 50/50. Here is a great bet to make with friends who will bet on anything or have consumed to many tasty adult beverages before the game begin.

Each year the coin toss call alternates between the AFC & NFC. The NFL doesn’t have a coin toss to determine who calls the toss. Other than the Arizona Cardinals, every team winning the toss has elected to receive the ball.  Winning the coin toss doesn’t guarantee or improve the odds of winning the Super Bowl.  You can see from the table winning the coin toss has produced 23 Super Bowl winners and 24 losers.

 Super Bowl Coin Toss Analysis – Prop bet   Updated 1/12/2014

 

Coin Toss Stats

AFC has won the toss 16 times or 34% and last won the toss in 2013 at Super Bowl XLVII. The Baltimore Ravens won the toss and beat by the San Francisco 49er’s 34-31.

NFC has won the toss 31 times or 66% and won the toss 14 straight years (1998 – 2011).

Pittsburgh Steelers are the leader and have won the toss 6 times, followed by both the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers each winning 5 times.

There is as 3-way tie between the Buffalo Bills, Denver Broncos and the Minnesota Vikings have all lost the toss 4 times.

Green Bay Packers were the first to win the coin toss in the first Super Bowl in 1967 defeating the Kansas City Chiefs 35-10.

There have been studies to determine if there is any bias based upon whether the referee has the coin facing heads or tails. Whatever side is facing up, will land on that same side from 51-55 % of the time.

Super Bowl XLVIII will be played outdoors in NJ at the new Meadowlands MetLife Stadium in 2/2/2014. It will be interesting to see if weather impacts not only the coin toss, but the scoring of the game. You can watch what the Las Vegas lines will be on the over/under bets as well as other scoring bets.

Good luck with your betting and your team.

Super Bowls 1-47 Coin Toss History Detail – Updated 1/14/14

CoinToss Stats 2014 Detailed 300x164 Super Bowls 1 47 Coin Toss History Detail   Updated 1/14/14

This chart displays the following details:

  • Game date,
  • Teams with Final Score,
  • Location (including stadium, city and state),
  • Coin toss winner,
  • Coin toss conference of winner,
  • Super Bowl winner and
  • Super Bowl loser
  • Heads or Tails

This history helps you track one of the most popular prop bets. Although winning the coin toss is no indicator of who will win, in most games this ties in with another popular prop bet of “which team scores first” as well as “the time taken for the first score“.

Every year, the Highland Mint (near Palm Bay, FL) mints a single, unique coin to be tossed at the opening of the Super Bowl. Out of fairness, of course, the team that gets to call the toss alternates between the National and American Football Conferences: one year, the AFC calls it; the next, the NFC.

The coin has landed on heads 24 times and tails 23 times in the previous 47 Super Bowls.

Another number to know if you are looking to hit your Super Bowl prop picks is that the team that has won the coin toss is 23-24 in the Super Bowl.  The NFC has won the coin toss 31 times, the AFC 16 times.

Ultimately, winning the Super Bowl depends on any number of things: strength, skill, stamina, speed, strategy, teamwork, completions, the wind, the weather, the coin toss, and who knows how many other factors, most unquantifiable. Since this year’s game will be played outdoors in NJ at the MetLife Stadium, weather could impact the outcome.

The odds the team that wins the coin toss will choose to receive the kickoff are 1 in 1.02 (98%).

Due to a rule change in 2009, only one coin-toss-winning team has ever chosen to kick, rather than to receive—the Arizona Cardinals—hence, the odds the team that wins the coin toss will choose to kick off are currently 1 in 43 (The Cardinals went on to lose that game).

The longest streaks of heads or tails: Heads came up 9 times in a row (Super Bowl VI-XIV, while tails has twice come up 4 times in a row.

The longest coin-toss-winning streaks (regardless of who calls it): The AFC has won the toss 4 years in a row (1972-1975). The NFC, on the other hand won 12 tosses (1998-2009); though, in fairness, NFC teams only went on to win 3 of those championships.