Super Bowl Scores By Quarter
Welcome to Year #5 – All Stats updated 1/27/2016 for Super Bowls 1-49.
This is the 5th year posting stats for every Super Bowl from 1-49 representing the most popular prop bets and 10×10 pool analysis with score by quarter detail as well as a complete scoring history. Many of us enter Super Bowl pools not knowing if our numbers have ever won a quarter. Outside of the obvious combinations containing: 0, 3, 4, 7, etc. Some pools will payout number combinations which are statistically less likely to occur or pay every time the score changes regardless of quarter. So those pools provide some options if you end up with low probability number combinations. A few changes were made based upon feedback from many of you to clarify some of the content.
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Thanks… John H.
Super Bowls 1-49 Coin Toss History helps you track one of the most popular prop bets. Although winning the coin toss is no indicator of who will win, in most games this ties in with another popular prop bet of “which team scores first“ as well as “the time taken for the first score“.
The number and absurdity of prop bets provides something for everyone outside of the normal 10×10 Super Bowl box pools. Here is the most current list posted by the Las Vegas Sun Super Bowl 50 Prop Bets
Super Bowl 50 will be the Denver Broncos 8th appearance and their second time in 3 years after the beat down by the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl 48. Carolina Panthers return for the first time with Cam Newton as QB. The last time they played was Super Bowl 38 in 2004 in a close loss to the New England Patriots 32-29. Sadly, this game is known for the wardrobe malfunction by Janet Jackson when her breast, adorned with a nipple shield was exposed by Justin Timberlake.
The chart below displays Super Bowls 1-49 Coin Toss Details:
- Game date,
- Teams with Final Score,
- Location (including stadium, city and state),
- Coin toss winner,
- Conference of coin toss winner,
- Super Bowl winner and
- Super Bowl loser
- Heads or Tails
The coin has landed on heads 24 times and tails 25 times in the previous 49 Super Bowls.
Another number to know if you are looking to hit your Super Bowl prop picks is that the team who has won the coin toss is 24-25 in the Super Bowl. The NFC has won the coin toss 33 times, the AFC 16 times.
The longest streak of heads or tails: Heads came up 9 times in a row (Super Bowl VI-XIV, while tails has twice come up 4 times in a row).
The longest coin-toss-winning streaks (regardless of who calls it): The AFC has won the toss 4 years in a row (1972-1975). The NFC on the other hand won 14 tosses (1998-2011); though, in fairness, NFC teams only went on to win 5 of those championships.
Broken down by conference, the NFC calls tails much more often, and the AFC heads.
This table lists Total Quarter Wins for Super Bowls 1-49 and Percentages for 100 Box Pools. The frequency of various number combinations winning a quarter in a traditional 100 box Super Bowl pool. Over the last 49 years, there were 196 quarters played and still no overtime game. Most 10×10 pools will payout the overtime in place of the 4th quarter, so check with your pool admin for a ruling on this.
The highest percentage of Total Quarter Wins for Super Bowls 1-49 is 7-0 & 0-7, winning 20 quarters or 10.20% of all quarters played. The last time that combination won a quarter was 2009 Super Bowl 43 in the 3rd quarter, when the Arizona Cardinals (NFC) were losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC) 20-7. That was a pretty exciting Super Bowl as the Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC) scored 27 and beat the Arizona Cardinals (NFC) 23. Even the combination with the highest winning percentage hasn’t hit in 6 Super Bowls. Having a 7 combined with other high probability numbers is what you hope to receive when numbers are randomly drawn.
If you don’t see your number combination, they have yet to win a quarter.
The same number pairs came out three times in the same game on two occasions:
1) Super Bowl V, number combination 6 & 3 won the 2nd, 3rd and 4th quarters. Baltimore (AFC) 16 beat Dallas (NFC) 13 in 1971.
2) Super Bowl XIX, number combination 8 & 6 won the 2nd, 3rd and 4th quarters. San Francisco (NFC) 38 beat Miami (AFC) 16 in 1985.
3) Super Bowl XLVIX, number combination 4 & 4 won both the 2nd and 3rd quarters. New England (AFC) scored 28 to beat Seattle (NFC) 24 in 2015, with an interception by Malcolm Butler from Russell Wilson, while Seattle was on the New England 1 yard line. This became a highly scrutinized call, which you will hear discussed during this year’s game as every football “expert” had an opinion of Pete Carroll’s decision to pass instead of run.
Below are all winners and losers by conference.
Seeing all Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter and Conference will determine the possibility you have of winning a quarter. Depending upon the 10×10 pool you are playing, where only the 4 quarters are paid, you hope when the numbers are drawn your pair(s) fall into one of those combinations not highlighted in red.
I have broken down Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter and Conference so you can see how frequently pairs of numbers have occurred. As you can see, red boxes have never won a quarter.
Safeties, blocked extra points, 2 point conversions, and until this year moving the extra point from 20 yards to 33 yards can all impact the value of your numbers. Now there is hope for what were historically low probability number pairs.
1st Quarter – there were only 16 winning number combinations and AFC 0 vs. NFC 0 had the most wins followed closely by AFC 0 vs. NFC 3.
2nd Quarter – as you can see in this quarter, the number combinations nearly doubled. AFC 7 vs. NFC 0 had the most wins followed by AFC 7 vs. NFC 3. After that are random combinations of 1 and 2 wins in 29 other pairs, thus providing other winners as the game takes shape.
3rd Quarter – consistent with the winning number pair combinations exceeding 30 and easily doubling the 1st quarter. AFC 4 vs. NFC 0 had the most wins, followed by AFC 7vs. NFC 0, AFC 7 vs. NFC 3 and AFC 7 vs. NFC 6. Having the AFC with 7 in the 3rd quarter was the number with the highest probability of winning and 6 of 10 pairs with AFC were winners.
4th Quarter – follows the pattern of the 2nd & 3rd quarters with the winning number pair combinations exceeding 30. The 4th has the most combinations of numbers as end of the game strategy and other decisions as well as scoring plays in the previous quarters impact the numbers combination possibilities. AFC 4 vs. NFC 7 had the most wins, followed by a number of pairs which hit twice. Having the NFC with 7 in the 4th quarter was the number with the highest probability of winning and 7 of 10 pairs with AFC were winners.
Total – Overall there are 59 winning pairs of numbers for all Super Bowls 1-49 by Quarter and Conference and 41 which have yet to win and some have a small probability of every occurring. There are many factors which make it very difficult for certain number pairs to ever win and this year with the extra point being moved back 13 yards could bring those numbers into play. Carolina’s Kicker, Graham Gano made 56 0f 59 extra points during the regular season and all 9 attempts in the playoffs. While Denver’s Kicker, Brandon McManus made 35 of 36 extra points during the regular season and was 2 for 2 in the playoffs. This is the first Super Bowl for each and will be a real test of pressure as we saw the Patriot’s Stephen Gostowski miss his first extra point after setting the NFL record of 523 in a row.
First time number pairs:
- Super Bowl 46: NFC 5 & AFC 7 win a quarter for the first time ever. Thanks to Tom Brady getting a safety very early in the 1st quarter after being pressured by Justin Tuck.
- Super Bowl 47: AFC 8 & NFC 3 win a quarter for the first time ever in the 3rd quarter.
- Super Bowl 48: AFC 8 & NFC 6 win a quarter for the first time ever in the 3rd quarter.
- Super Bowl 49: AFC 4 & NFC 4 won both the 2nd & 3rd quarters, which is statistically impressive since that combination only hit 1 other time in 48 Super Bowls.
The chart below displays the frequency of pool numbers for all Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter and Conference as well as if they have ever won. Although past performance of the Super Bowl is not a guarantee, there is some comfort in knowing that you have a possibility of a winning. If your pool allows you to sell your box or sell shares of your box, this chart is a great resource or if the pool pays on every change of score then you still have a chance.
Super Bowl Quarter Metrics
Number pairs which haven’t won a Super Bowl quarter include: 1-1, 2-2, 5-5, 8-8 and 9-9.
There are 41 number combinations which have yet to produce a winner.
0-0 has won the most with 14 wins
AFC 7 & NFC 0 rank 2nd with 12 wins
NFC 3 & AFC 0 rank 3rd with 10 wins
Based on the scoring, certain number pairs are more difficult to occur in the 1st quarter and cannot occur until later in the game. This could also be the year where a missed extra point will put statistically, low probability numbers in play.
All content has been carefully checked to the best of my ability based on various sources to make sure this site is as accurate as possible. If you find any issues or question a stat, please contact me so I can review my sources for validation purposes. Good luck…