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Super Bowl Scores By Quarter

Welcome to Year #5 – All Stats updated 1/27/2016 for Super Bowls 1-49.

Presented By:

PMB_Logo-2016-Super Bowl Website

About

This is the 5th year posting stats for every Super Bowl from 1-49 representing the most popular prop bets and 10×10 pool analysis with score by quarter detail as well as a complete scoring history.  Many of us enter Super Bowl pools not knowing if our numbers have ever won a quarter. Outside of the obvious combinations containing: 0, 3, 4, 7, etc. Some pools will payout number combinations which are statistically less likely to occur or pay every time the score changes regardless of quarter. So those pools provide some options if you end up with low probability number combinations.  A few changes were made based upon feedback from many of you to clarify some of the content.

Share this site with everyone and good luck.

Thanks… John H.

All Super Bowl quarter number combos

Useful Stats:

Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter and Conference

Seeing all Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter and Conference will determine the possibility you have of winning a quarter. Depending upon the 10×10 pool you are playing, where only the 4 quarters are paid, you hope when the numbers are drawn your pair(s) fall into one of those combinations not highlighted in red.

I have broken down Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter and Conference so you can see how frequently pairs of numbers have occurred. As you can see, red boxes have never won a quarter.

Safeties, blocked extra points, 2 point conversions, and until this year moving the extra point from 20 yards to 33 yards can all impact the value of your numbers.  Now there is hope for what were historically low probability number pairs.

1st Quarter – there were only 16 winning number combinations and AFC 0 vs. NFC 0 had the most wins followed closely by AFC 0 vs. NFC 3.

Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter

 

2nd Quarter – as you can see in this quarter, the number combinations nearly doubled. AFC 7 vs. NFC 0 had the most wins followed by AFC 7 vs. NFC 3. After that are random combinations of 1 and 2 wins in 29 other pairs, thus providing other winners as the game takes shape.

Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter

 

3rd Quarter – consistent with the winning number pair combinations exceeding 30 and easily doubling the 1st quarter.  AFC 4 vs. NFC 0 had the most wins, followed by AFC 7vs. NFC 0, AFC 7 vs. NFC 3 and AFC 7 vs. NFC 6.  Having the AFC with 7 in the 3rd quarter was the number with the highest probability of winning and 6 of 10 pairs with AFC were winners.

Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter

 

4th Quarter – follows the pattern of the 2nd & 3rd quarters with the winning number pair combinations exceeding 30. The 4th has the most combinations of numbers as end of the game strategy and other decisions as well as scoring plays in the previous quarters impact the numbers combination possibilities.  AFC 4 vs. NFC 7 had the most wins, followed by a number of pairs which hit twice. Having the NFC with 7 in the 4th quarter was the number with the highest probability of winning and 7 of 10 pairs with AFC were winners.

Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter

 

Total – Overall there are 59 winning pairs of numbers for all Super Bowls 1-49 by Quarter and Conference and 41 which have yet to win and some have a small probability of every occurring.  There are many factors which make it very difficult for certain number pairs to ever win and this year with the extra point being moved back 13 yards could bring those numbers into play. Carolina’s Kicker, Graham Gano made 56 0f 59 extra points during the regular season and all 9 attempts in the playoffs. While Denver’s Kicker, Brandon McManus made 35 of 36 extra points during the regular season and was 2 for 2 in the playoffs.  This is the first Super Bowl for each and will be a real test of pressure as we saw the Patriot’s Stephen Gostowski miss his first extra point after setting the NFL record of 523 in a row.

ScoreByQuarter-Overall-1-31-16

 

First time number pairs:

  • Super Bowl 46: NFC 5 & AFC 7 win a quarter for the first time ever. Thanks to Tom Brady getting a safety very early in the 1st quarter after being pressured by Justin Tuck.
  • Super Bowl 47:  AFC 8 & NFC 3 win a quarter for the first time ever in the 3rd quarter.
  • Super Bowl 48: AFC 8 & NFC 6 win a quarter for the first time ever in the 3rd quarter.
  • Super Bowl 49: AFC 4 & NFC 4 won both the 2nd & 3rd quarters, which is statistically impressive since that combination only hit 1 other time in 48 Super Bowls.

The chart below displays the frequency of pool numbers for all Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter and Conference as well as if they have ever won. Although past performance of the Super Bowl is not a guarantee, there is some comfort in knowing that you have a possibility of a winning. If your pool allows you to sell your box or sell shares of your box, this chart is a great resource or if the pool pays on every change of score then you still have a chance.

Super Bowl Scores 1-49 by Quarter

Super Bowl Quarter Metrics

Number pairs which haven’t won a Super Bowl quarter include: 1-1, 2-2, 5-5, 8-8 and 9-9.

There are 41 number combinations which have yet to produce a winner.

0-0 has won the most with 14 wins

AFC 7 & NFC 0 rank 2nd with 12 wins

NFC 3 & AFC 0 rank 3rd with 10 wins

Based on the scoring, certain number pairs are more difficult to occur in the 1st quarter and cannot occur until later in the game. This could also be the year where a missed extra point will put statistically, low probability numbers in play.

All 48 Super Bowl Scores by Quarter by Conference

The images quickly display the Super Bowl Score by Quarter by Conference history for every game 1-48 and the number combinations which won a quarter and how frequently they paid.  As you can see, the red boxes have never won a quarter.  Although over the last 3 Super Bowls, 3 number combinations had their first quarter win.

Safeties, blocked extra points, 2 point conversions can all impact the value of your numbers. The year you finally get 7-0 or 3-0 and within the first few possessions the QB is sacked in the end zone or as Tom Brady did against the N.Y. Giants in Super Bowl 46 throwing a pass to avoid being sacked which was ruled “intentional grounding”.  This wasn’t his first Super Bowl, but the play changed the outcome of many number pairs and a lot of unhappy people were suddenly out of the money.

 

100 Box Super Bowl Quarter Wins-2015

First time number pairs:

  • Super Bowl 46 saw NFC 5 & AFC 7 win a quarter for the first time ever. Thanks to Tom Brady getting a safety early in the 1st quarter after being pressured by Justin Tuck.
  • Super Bowl 47 saw AFC 8 & NFC 3 win a quarter for the first time ever in the 3rd
  • Super Bowl 48 saw AFC 8 & NFC 6 win a quarter for the first time ever in the 3rd

Reviewing this chart displays the frequency of your pool numbers and if they have ever won a quarter. Although past performance of the Super Bowl is not a guarantee, there is some comfort in knowing that you have a possibility of a winning. If your pool allows you to sell your box or sell shares of your box, this chart is a great resource.

100 Box Super Bowl Quarter Wins-2015-Rank-Small

Super Bowl Quarter Metrics

Number pairs which have yet to win a quarter include: 1-1, 2-2, 5-5, 8-8 and 9-9.

There are 41 number combinations which have yet to produce a winner.

0-0 has paid off the most with 13 wins

AFC 7 & NFC 0 rank 2nd with 12 wins

NFC 3 & AFC 0 rank 3rd with 10 wins

Based on the scoring, certain number pairs are more difficult to occur in the 1st quarter and cannot occur until later in the game.

Total Quarter Wins for Every Super Bowl 1-48 and Percentages for 100 Box Pools

This table lists Total Quarter Wins for Every Super Bowl 1-48 and Percentages for 100 Box Pools. The frequency of various number combinations winning a quarter in a traditional 100 box Super Bowl pool.  Over the last 48 years, there were 192 quarters played and still no overtime game.

The highest percentage of wins is 7-0 & 0-7, winning 20 quarters or 10.42% of all quarters played. The last time they won a quarter was Super Bowl 43 in the 3rd quarter, where the Arizona Cardinals (NFC) were losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC) 20-7.  That was a pretty exciting Super Bowl and the Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC) 27 beat the Arizona Cardinals (NFC) 23 in 2009.

 

Count For Super Bowl Quarter Wins-2015If you don’t see your numbers then they never won a quarter – better luck next year.

The same numbers came out three times in the same game on two occasions:

1) Super Bowl V, numbers 6 & 3 won the 2nd, 3rd and 4th quarters. Baltimore (AFC) 16 beat Dallas (NFC) 13 in 1971.

2) Super Bowl XIX, numbers 8 & 6 won the 2nd, 3rd and 4th quarters. San Francisco (NFC) 38 beat Miami (AFC) 16 in 1985.

First time Super Bowl quarter number pairs:

Super Bowl 46 saw NFC 5 & AFC 7 win a quarter for the first time ever. Thanks to Tom Brady getting a safety early in the 1st quarter after being pressured by Justin Tuck and throwing the ball 50 yards to the center of the field to avoid a sack. The play was ruled “intentional grounding” and immediately changed the quarter score outcome of any 10×10 or 100 box Super Bowl pool.  High percentage number combinations were now statistically difficult to achieve depending upon the scoring throughout the game

Super Bowl 47 saw AFC 8 & NFC 3 win a quarter for the first time ever in the 3rd quarter, so number pairs which haven’t paid off in the past have now become relevant. A missed snap to Peyton Manning reduced the odds for high probability number pairs paying off and now combinations which historically haven’t won or won only a few quarters, became relevant.

All content has been carefully checked to the best of my ability based on various sources to make sure this site is as accurate as possible.  If you find any issues or question a stat, please contact me so I can review my sources for validation purposes.  Good luck…

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